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Kari's Blog • Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • Real Estate Related • January 29, 2024

Local Market Update – January 2024

by Kari Haas

Despite moments of snow in Western Washington, the local real estate market is slowly warming, as new opportunities arise for both home buyers and sellers. Lower mortgage rates are welcome news for buyers, and low inventory means sellers are starting the year with minimal competition.

King County continues to see residential price gains, with last month’s median sold price of $849,950 up from $825,000 a year ago. Condo prices also rose, up 15% from $465,000 in December 2022 to $537,000 last month. King County is also experiencing a reduced supply of available single-family homes. At the end of last month, inventory stood at 1.3 months, down from 1.6 months at the end of November and 2.0 months a year prior.

In a slightly different dynamic, Seattle experienced a decrease in both inventory and home prices last month. The median residential sold price was down from $879,975 in December 2022 to $850,000 last month. And December ended with 1.7 months of inventory, down from 1.9 months the previous month. While 16% of homes sold above list price in December, that was significantly lower than November, when 29% sold above asking. Seattle condo prices rose year-over-year, from $512,500 in December 2022 to $585,000 last month, with supply dropping 22 percent.

Following a modest decline in November, the Eastside rallied with an 11% bump in the median residential sold price, up from $1,400,000 last year to $1,440,000 last month. Further proof of a warming Eastside market: residential inventory is less than half of what it was last year, down from 2.5 months at the end of 2022 to just 1.2 months at the end of 2023. Mirroring the residential market, Eastside condominiums experienced a healthy 12% price increase last month, up from a median of $565,000 a year ago to $630,000.

Snohomish County was an interesting tangle of contradicting sales data. Median residential sold prices saw a slight year-over-year decrease last month, down from $700,000 to $684,995. This price decrease occurred despite a dramatic drop in inventory. The supply of Snohomish County single-family homes stood at just 0.8 months at the end of December, down from 1.8 months the year prior. Of the four areas reported in this market update, Snohomish County saw the lowest percentage of sold homes that had experienced a price reduction, at 41%, perhaps a reflection of the drastically reduced supply. Another possible outcome of the limited supply of single-family homes: the median sold price for Snohomish County condos jumped 11% year over year, from $469,950 in December 2022 to $523,500 last month.

As we move further into the new year, buyers remain hopeful that interest rates will continue to drop. The inventory of homes on the market has declined from a year ago in most markets, prompting price gains during what’s normally a slower time of year. Overall, the regional condo market has seen sustained activity, with unit sales experiencing only a modest decrease in the face of lower inventory and higher prices.

With regional submarkets exhibiting varying dynamics, it’s more important than ever for buyers and sellers to have a knowledgeable expert at their side. So connect with your Windermere broker to co-create a strategy that’s best for your buying or selling journey.

EASTSIDE

King County

Seattle

Snohomish County

 

Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • September 14, 2023

September 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas

As summer draws to a close, the local housing market remains somewhat unsettled. This is due to persistently high interest rates that have caused buyers to pause and sellers to hold onto their pandemic-era mortgage rates, as well as low inventory increasing competition for the available listings. Sold home prices in some areas have begun to see year-over-year price increases in relation to the slowdown that hit the market at the end of last year.

Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner remarked on this trend. “Historically, the number of homes for sale slows in August,” he said. “Where sales did occur, prices rose between July and August in King and Pierce counties.” Gardner also described these conditions as “very unique times” in the housing market.

While these conditions may be challenging to navigate, sellers are still finding success with correctly-priced listings. New listings are attracting multiple offers and often sell over list price. Buyers who come prepared with strategic offers and a willingness to waive contingencies can break into the market with the guidance of a savvy broker.

King County was one of the regions that saw year-over-year price gains. The median price for a single-family home rose 0.7% from $899,999 in August 2022 to $906,250 last month. Condos saw even bigger gains, likely due to their better affordability for new homebuyers. The median price for condos in August was $525,000, up 8.25% from $485,000 the same time a year ago.

The Seattle market hasn’t quite caught up to its pricing from this time last year. There, the median price for single-family homes in August was $899,000, down about 3% from $927,000 in August 2022. On the other hand, the condo market saw a 10.5% price increase year-over-year, rising from $520,000 in 2022 to $575,000 last month.

Eastside median sold prices fared better. After a somewhat sluggish summer in terms of pricing, last month the median price for single-family homes rose to $1,453,000. That’s an increase of 7.6% from $1,350,000 in August 2022. Condos in the area also saw price growth, with median sold prices increasing 5.4% from $569,000 last year to $600,475 in August.

Like Seattle, Snohomish County also hasn’t caught up to its 2022 prices, though this is likely because the county had fewer fluctuations in the last year and may be experiencing the typical end-of-summer slowdown that is common in the housing market. There, the median price for single-family homes was down 2.6% from $749,999 last August to $730,563 this year. The condo market was virtually unchanged in pricing, increasing from $474,999 in August 2022 to an even $475,000 last month.

In all the areas mentioned above, condos generally saw the most notable price gains. This is likely due to their greater affordability for first-time homebuyers and those in the median price-bracket. With interest rates still fluctuating, many buyers are rethinking their plans and may be pivoting to the condo market, thus driving up demand and prices.

Matthew Gardner sees the current real estate market as still “lack[ing] direction,” due to the ongoing interest rate issues. He says “it likely won’t find its footing until mortgage rates start to pull back, which I expect to see as we enter the fall months – and assuming the U.S. economy continues to moderate.”

The remainder of the year will set the tone for how the market looks in 2024. Until then, your Windermere broker can help you navigate these changing conditions and find a strategy that’s best for your buying or selling journey.

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

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This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • July 18, 2023

July 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas

This summer’s local housing market is seeing low inventory feed higher prices, putting the squeeze on would-be buyers. June is typically the month where home prices reach their apex, and last month was no exception as King and Snohomish counties’ prices neared the peaks seen during the sugar high of the pandemic market.

Approximately 80% of recent transactions have been in the more affordable and mid-price ranges, which are nearly sold out at the moment. Because of this, multiple offers and offers over list price were more prevalent in June’s closed home sales than at any other point this year.

Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner addressed the inventory shortfall. “The number of homes for sale in the Central Puget Sound area in June was down 48% from the same month in 2019 (pre-pandemic),” he said. “I believe much of the reason for this is that almost 33% of in-state homeowners have mortgage rates at or below 3%, and 87% of owners have rates below 5%. There is little incentive to list your home for sale if you don’t have to.”

In King County, the median sold price for a single-family home landed at $935,000 in June. This is just a notch below the median price of $938,225 in June 2022. The scarce inventory has caused buyers to compete more aggressively and sellers to list higher, thus leading to comparable peaks as the pandemic market in the summer of 2022. Likewise, condos were up from $525,000 in June 2022 to a median of $529,975 last month.

In Seattle, June’s median sold price for a single-family home was $930,000, down 7% from June 2022. Condo prices in the city were up year-over-year, with a median price of $550,000—an increase from $538,700 last June. This jump could be due in part to rising residential prices pushing some buyers into the more affordable condo market.

The Eastside, meanwhile, is seeing sales activity slow because of extremely limited supply. The level of new inventory coming onto the market is just 44% of the 10-year average. As a result, median prices have held strong. In June, the median sold price for an Eastside single-family home was $1,450,000, barely off last June’s mark of $1,500,000.

In Snohomish County, the median price for a single-family home last month was $774,975, down from $799,950 in June 2022. Condos actually saw a year-over-year price increase, from $500,000 last June to a median of $506,000 last month. The strength of Snohomish County condo prices is likely tethered to low inventory—there is just over a two week-supply of condo units in the area.

Economist Matthew Gardner notes that “Sale prices in King and Snohomish counties rose for the fifth consecutive month and are only modestly lower than a year ago. It will be interesting to see if this trend can continue given the stubbornly high mortgage rates.”

Despite the high-interest rates and scant supply, buyers who are educated on the market and working with a trusted broker should be able to navigate these changing market conditions. For more information on how you can make the most of your real estate endeavors, reach out to your Windermere broker.

EASTSIDE

VIEW FULL EASTSIDE REPORT

KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

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This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • June 27, 2023

June 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas

The more frenetic activity of a typical spring real estate market has certainly hit our area, with buyers out in droves looking for homes. What they’ve found, however, is high competition and scant listings. The region’s low housing inventory has been a constraint that has resulted in fewer closed sales than we’ve seen in recent spring markets.

According to real estate experts, housing supply and interest rates are the defining obstacles for buyers at the moment. On the Eastside, active inventory is only 32% of the 10-year average, and new listings are off 34% year-to-date. This is driving prices up, while interest rates put a damper on what buyers can afford. While recent demand has been strong, experts expect that demand will taper off as interest rates approach the 7% mark.

However, because inventory is so scant, sellers who adequately price their homes are seeing success in this market. As an example, around 44% of properties on the Eastside are selling above their asking price, at an average of 5% over list. Anecdotally, the homeowners who are most likely to sell at the moment are those who purchased before the historic low-interest rates of the pandemic or have paid off their homes and are thus mortgage-free. Buyers in this market also have some negotiating power, having successfully negotiated pre-inspections, homeowner warranties, and seller-paid closing costs to mitigate the high rates.

In King County, with just shy of one month’s inventory, competition in the area is fierce, and buyers will need to be ready to negotiate when the right listing comes along. The county’s median sold price for a single-family home dropped almost 9% year-over-year, from $998,888 in May 2022 to $910,000 this year. However, that’s still an increase from April’s median of $875,000.

Seattle had a similar low inventory, at one month’s supply. The median sold price for single-family homes rose from $886,000 in April to $905,125 last month. While there’s been continued monthly price growth so far this year, May’s median sold price was still down 11.7% from the median of $1,025,500 in May 2022. Although residential inventory is tight, buyers in the city may have more luck with condos, which are both more affordable and plentiful. The Seattle condo market currently has almost two months of inventory and a more reasonable median price of $550,000.

Like Seattle, the Eastside has just one month of inventory at the moment. However, higher interest rates are being felt a little more in this pricier area, as May’s median sold price for a single-family home did not change from April’s median of $1,450,000. This is down 8.8% from the median of $1,590,000 in May 2022. The supply of Eastside condos is lower than the residential supply, with just .8 months’ inventory. At a median sold price of $582,000 last month, condos may be a slightly easier path to homeownership for those searching on the Eastside.

Finally, Snohomish County saw month-over-month price gains in May, landing at a median sold price of $780,000 for a single-family home, up from $767,500 in April. May’s median price was down 8% from $782,000 in May 2022. The county’s more affordable price points may allow for better appreciation in the area, despite the continued higher interest rates that have stifled other local markets. With just two weeks of inventory, the Snohomish County condo market is the tightest regional market at the moment. The median price for condos in the area is $544,900, down less than 1% from $550,000 in May 2022.

As buyers and sellers navigate continued low inventory and high-interest rates, they both must be comfortable negotiating terms to achieve the best possible outcome. Buyers should be ready to move fast and bring as much cash as possible, while sellers should be cognizant of the burden higher rates can create and price their listings accordingly.

If you have questions about these housing market trends or real estate, please give the Kari Haas Real Estate Team a call.

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

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This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

For Buyers • For Home Owners • For Sellers • Kari's Blog • Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • May 11, 2023

May 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas

As the weather warms, so too does our real estate market, it seems. With dwindling inventory and climbing prices, the housing market is on an upswing, even if it’s a small one. This places sellers back in the driver’s seat, with buyers forced to compete against multiple offers and in the face of higher interest rates than last spring.

The evidence for the market’s positive growth can be found in higher median closed sales prices, an increased percentage of multiple offers, and a higher median percentage paid above the original asking price. At this point, the primary constraint on the market is a lower number of active listings. Many sellers are reluctant to part with their historically low-interest rates from the pandemic years, and with volatile interest rates, it’s an understandable predicament.

The lower number of available homes on the market has contributed to rising prices as buyers compete for a limited pool of properties. This trend often leads to multiple offers and bidding wars, further increasing prices.

For those buyers who do decide to jump into the fray, interest rates remain a key factor in determining their buying power. For the last few months, activity in the market has ticked up when rates dip, but some buyers are willing to face higher interest rates with the plan of refinancing when rates settle.

Even with that in mind, interest rates can have a huge impact on a buyer’s price bracket. For example, the median Seattle home price has declined by about 13% ($133,950) year-over-year. However, the increase in interest rates has offset this reduction. As a result, the median monthly mortgage payment remains around $5,507, which is comparable to the payment amount from a year ago — despite a lower median sold price.

Although home prices in our region may be lower year-over-year, prices have generally been increasing each month this year. In King County, April’s median single-family home price was $875,000. That’s down 12.6% from last April’s $995,000 but up from a median of $840,000 in March. A single month of available inventory means competition for homes is tight throughout the county.

In Seattle, April’s median price for a single-family home was $886,000 — down quite a bit from the same month last year, when the median price was $1,019,950. However, prices were up from a median of $869,975 in March, and a low inventory of just over a month’s supply means demand is still high, and prices are likely to keep inching upward. Condo prices in the city were actually up year-over-year, with a median sold price of $539,000 in April, compared to $512,500 in April 2022.

The Eastside also saw month-over-month price growth in April, with the median price for a single-family home landing at $1,450,000. This is up from $1,411,500 in March. Despite a 15% decrease in year-over-year prices, the current monthly price growth trend is notable. It’s likely we will not see the exponential price increases of the pandemic again anytime soon, making slow, steady growth the norm once again. The Eastside also has about one month of inventory for single-family homes, making it once again a competitive market.

Finally, Snohomish County saw month-over-month price growth in April as well. The median price of a single-family home was $767,500, up from $724,000 in March. With less than one month of available inventory, the housing market in Snohomish County is trending warm-to-hot. Condos in the county had the tightest inventory of any market, with less than two weeks’ supply. That, combined with April’s median sold price of $544,900, makes the Snohomish County condo market a competitive market for buyers to break into.

If you have questions about these housing market trends or real estate in general, please reach out to Kari (206)719-2224

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

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This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

For Buyers • For Home Owners • For Sellers • Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • April 12, 2023

April 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas
april 2023 real estate market update

Spring has truly arrived in our region, with longer days and blooming cherry blossoms. Along with these harbingers of the season, the pace of the local real estate market has also picked up, indicating that the spring market is finally here. An uptick in new listings and price gains in the last month demonstrates a typical seasonal pattern, and buyers and sellers are adjusting their strategies accordingly.

According to Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner, the total inventory in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties grew over 14% from February. However, the number of homes for sale in the tri-county area was down about 40% when compared to pre-pandemic stats from March 2019. This gives sellers the advantage when it comes to setting prices for their listings.

Gardner noted this as well. “Despite the growing number of available homes for sale, sellers in King County are holding firm, with listing prices increasing by over 5% compared to February. In Snohomish County, listing prices were up just shy of 5%,” he said.

While the monthly increase in listings is good news for buyers, fluctuating interest rates and steadfast prices from sellers mean some borrowers are getting creative with their financing. Bridge loans, home equity loans, and purchases contingent on the sale of the buyer’s previous home are coming back into circulation.

These factors and more are that buyers are eager to take advantage of the market when interest rates dip down to more comfortable levels. As rates continue to fluctuate and gradually level off, prices may once again become the major determining factor for which listing a buyer may pursue.

In King County, the median price for a single-family home rose about 4.8% from $800,000 in February to $840,000 last month. While that’s still down 9.68% from the median price of $930,000 in March 2022, steady price growth in the face of higher interest rates is certainly notable. With about one month of inventory, the ball is still in the sellers’ court, despite lower year-over-year prices.

Seattle followed a similar pattern. The median price for single-family homes dropped 10.3% from $970,000 in March 2022 to $869,975 last month. However, that’s an increase of over 5% from February’s median price of $825,000. The condo market saw year-over-year gains of 4.9%, increasing from a median price of $510,025 in March 2022 to $535,000 last month. The residential market still had relatively tight inventory at about 1.1 months’ supply. However, compared to the scant .3-month’s supply of March 2022, buyers seem to have their pick of listings.

The Eastside saw the greatest year-over-year price decrease, which is to be expected considering the already high price point of the area. While the median single-family home price decreased almost 17% from $1,700,000 in March 2022 to $1,411,500 last month, the area did see monthly gains; the median price increased just over 5% from $1,340,000 in February. Condos in the area also had monthly increases, from a median price of $540,000 in February to $585,000 last month.

Snohomish County — while still more affordable than its neighbors — was up compared to February. Last month, the median price for single-family homes in the area was $724,000, up from $690,560 in February. The area had the smallest relative year-over-year price decrease of 9.5%, coming down from a median of $800,000 in March 2022. With just .8 months of inventory, Snohomish is still a desirable area for buyers looking to get the most bang for their buck.

Over the last few weeks, tapering interest rates have brought buyers back to the market, but low inventory remains a key challenge for prospective buyers moving forward. If you’d like to learn more about what these market conditions mean for you, please reach out to Kari at (206)719-2224

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT

This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

For Buyers • For Home Owners • For Sellers • Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • March 10, 2023

March 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas
march 2023 real estate market update

A recent surge in purchase activity indicates that the early spring real estate market is in full swing in our region. Fluctuating interest rates have caused some buyers to converge on properly-priced listings when rates are down, while potential sellers have been hesitant to let go of the historically low mortgages they have on their homes. This has led to a well-known dynamic in our region: not enough inventory to meet the current demand, causing buyers to compete again in multiple offer scenarios. The likely effect of this push-pull will be higher prices in the coming months, despite the constraints of higher (and unpredictable) mortgage rates.

The current interest rate environment is the difference between the level of competition the market is experiencing now and the frenzy of the pandemic market. Buying power is lessened by higher mortgage payments, and with rates still in flux, creative financing is key for many buyers.

That being said, Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner notes buyers are eager to take advantage of brief dips in rates when they appear. “What is interesting is that home prices rose between January and February, which tells me that buyers jumped on the opportunity to take advantage of mortgage rates that dipped below 6.1% five times between mid-January end early February,” Gardner said.

In King County, single-family home prices did rise from $781,098 in January to $800,000, though that’s down 6.7% from $857,750 in February 2022. Condos were also up, with a median price of $468,500 last month compared to $450,000 in January.

Seattle followed the same pattern, with the median price of single-family homes rising from $803,750 in January to $825,000 last month. While that is still down 11% from $925,000 this time last year, interest rates have played a large part in what buyers can reasonably afford. In the last two years alone, the median interest payment for a single-family home has risen 54%, from $3,283 in February 2021 to $5,085 — an increase of $1,802. Despite this, demand is still high, as buyers do what they can to break into the market. In February, 28% of Seattle homes sold above list price, and 53% of listings sold in under two weeks.

On the Eastside, the median price of a single-family home last month was $1,340,000 — down over 21% from a year ago, when the median was $1,697,500. However, February sold prices were up from January when the median was $1,320,000. A sure sign that the Eastside market is becoming more competitive, in the last three months, both the number of homes selling above the asking price and the amount over list price have doubled.

In Snohomish County, the median price for single-family homes fell 7.4% year-over-year to $690,560. Unlike the other regions, that’s also down from January’s median price of $699,000. The higher interest rates could be causing more buyers in this market to pause as they wait for prices and rates to stabilize. The relative affordability of Snohomish County has long been a draw for many buyers, who now may be more sensitive to the fluctuations of the market.

Looking ahead, Matthew Gardner predicts we will see more of the same trends. “Year over year, home sales prices are down, but that isn’t surprising given that a year ago, homebuyers were scrambling to buy in the face of mortgage rates that were about to skyrocket,” he said. “I expect we will see a similar story for the next few months.”

If you have questions about what these market conditions mean for you, please give the Kari Haas Real Estate Team a call!

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

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This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

For Buyers • For Sellers • Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • January 12, 2023

January 2023 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas
january 2023 real estate market update

The close of 2022 brought the housing market extremes of the last year into sharp focus. With decreased sales, generally increasing inventory, and lower prices, the December market finally seemed to hit the winter slowdown that has characterized typical market cycles of years past. This stands in contrast to the early months of 2022, which saw sky-high prices and scarce inventory before the threat of inflation and rising mortgage rates caused the shift in the latter half of the year.

Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner commented on this phenomenon. “The local housing market in 2022 ended with a whimper rather than a bang. Overall, the housing market is going to continue falling off the artificial ‘sugar high’ that was a function of the artificially low mortgage rates during the pandemic,” he said.

This is not necessarily a bad thing, as stability in the market could translate to more predictable price appreciation for sellers and better circumstances for buyers to enter the market. In most cases, it’s low- and middle-priced homes that are missing from the market, so many first-time buyers still have plenty of pent-up demand for inventory that meets their needs and financial situations.

Despite a 43.3% drop in closed sales compared to December 2021, last month saw the median price for single-family homes in King County rise to $825,000. That’s up from the median of $810,000 this time last year. This could speak to the lingering effects of inflation on the market or be a factor in the lack of entry and mid-level homes currently available to buyers.

The Seattle market experienced the same pattern, with a year-over-year price increase of almost 5%, from $839,000 in December 2021 to $879,975 last month. Closed sales were down in the city as well, dropping 43.5% from last year to just 394 units, leaving the market with just under six weeks of inventory. The condo market mimicked this trend, with the median price rising to $512,500 last month, up from $490,000 in December 2021. Additionally, Seattle condos offered the highest amount of inventory, with 2.5 months of stock.

Things were a little different on the Eastside, which had experienced perhaps the highest price boom during the “sugar high” of the pandemic. There, single-family home prices decreased around 15% year-over-year, landing at a median of $1,299,000 last month, compared to $1,529,500 in December 2021. This is likely due to higher mortgage rates dampening the buying power of potential homebuyers in the area. Entry-level buyers may be forced to look in more affordable markets for the time being, and December’s 39.5% decrease in closed sales compared to December 2021 reflects this. Interestingly, Eastside condos experienced a sold price increase to a median of $565,000, up from $550,000 last year. This is likely because condos are a much more affordable entry point to the Eastside market and may be experiencing higher demand as buyers tailor their expectations to the current market conditions.

After the ups and downs of the last year, Snohomish County ended exactly where it began, with a median single-family home price of $700,000 — the same as in December 2021. Closed sales in the area were down 38.3%, leaving the market with about six weeks of inventory. Throughout the pandemic, Snohomish County has been a relatively stable market compared to the fluctuations of Seattle and the Eastside, making it a desirable area for first-time buyers and those looking to maximize their buying power.

Looking ahead, Matthew Gardner expects 2023 will see continued price declines. However, “With mortgage rates expected to fall from current levels slowly, sale prices should start increasing again in the second half of the year,” he said.

Gardner continued, “Ultimately, once prices pull back to where they would have been if the pandemic had never occurred, they will start to stabilize and then return to a more normalized pace of appreciation.”

Sellers and buyers have certainly felt the impacts of shifting economic conditions on the housing market. A slower market pace and modest price decreases may be necessary to help reset expectations on both sides and set up sustained future success.

If you have questions about how to make the most of the current market conditions, give Kari a call.

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT

This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • December 12, 2022

December 2022 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas
december 2022 real estate market update

As temperatures drop and we approach the end of the year, the local housing market has remained somewhat sluggish — an indication of a return to normal seasonality. Slower home sales are not necessarily a bad sign; in many cases, causes as benign as the holidays and inclement weather have pushed buyers off their path, with many choosing to wait for the new year before resuming their searches.

The market is still experiencing high-interest rates, though many experts agree we seem to be past peak inflation levels. While the 30-year interest rate recently dropped to 6.49% from the peak of 7.08%, it remains about a point above the June 2022 average of 5.42%. Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner expects mortgage rates will continue to drop. “Early in the new year, I expect the Fed to start pulling back from their aggressive policy stance, and this will allow rates to begin slowly stabilizing,” he says. Gardner expects interest rates to remain above the 6% mark until the fall of 2023 when they should begin to dip.

Interest rates and weather are not the only things causing buyers to slow their trajectory. The larger amount of inventory in most markets has encouraged buyers to take their time and browse more than they’ve been able to in the past two years. Sellers must now compete with one another for buyers’ attention and offers. That said, listings priced accurately for the market are still attracting showings and strong offers. Plus, many sellers can afford to wait for the right offer.

These trends were reflected across King County in November, with a median sold price of $827,000 for single-family homes. That’s up from $820,000 in October, but the more noticeable change was in the number of closed sales. The county saw a 44.7% year-over-year drop in the number of sold units, dropping from 2,371 closed sales in November 2021 to just 1,312 closed sales last month.

Seattle followed much the same pattern, with a median closed sale price of $905,000 for single-family homes, up from $850,000 the same time last year. Closed sales also decreased from 763 in November 2021 to 423 last month, a drop of 44.6%. Condos in the city experienced an even greater decrease in sales, with a 54% year-over-year dip in sold units.

Prices on the Eastside decreased to a median of $1,316,000 for single-family homes after holding steady at $1,350,000 since August of this year. The inventory for Eastside single-family homes currently sits at 2.4 months. Condo prices in the area rose from $555,500 in November 2021 to $569,500 last month. Eastside buyers may opt for condos as a more affordable choice, given the current interest rates. Condo inventory in the area currently sits at two months.

Last month just 10% of residential units on the Eastside sold above the asking price. More than half the listings on the Eastside experienced price reductions in November as well, with 54% of sold listings having had a price adjustment at some point. Despite these recent trends, it’s important to note that median home prices on the Eastside are up 24% over the past two years — from $1,060,000 in 2020 to $1,316,000 last month.

Snohomish County remained somewhat similar to last month, with slightly less than two months of inventory on single-family homes and a median sold price of $700,000. That’s up slightly year-over-year from $695,000 in November 2021. Condos in Snohomish County had the least inventory of any area, with only 1.6 months’ supply.

Although interest rates are higher than we’ve grown used to over the past two years, the increased inventory means it is still a great time for buyers, especially first-time homebuyers, to enter the market. Resources provided by the Washington State Housing Finance Commission, including its free homebuyer education seminars and its down payment and closing costs assistance programs, can help counter some obstacles that may keep buyers sidelined. A savvy combination of interest rate buy-downs, adjustable rate mortgages, and the possibility of refinancing for lower rates can also help would-be buyers hit the ground running.

If you have questions about what this market means for you, please reach out to Kari for assistance.

EASTSIDE

eastside december market update

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KING COUNTY

King county december market update

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SEATTLE

seattle december market update

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

snohomish december market update

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This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

For Buyers • For Home Owners • For Sellers • Real Estate Market Updates & Insight • Real Estate Related • November 15, 2022

November 2022 Real Estate Market Update

by Kari Haas
november real estate market update

As the final quarter of 2022 rolls on, it’s clear that these last months will be anything but typical for home buyers and sellers in King and Snohomish counties. In a real estate market that’s been defined by high competition and low supply for the last number of years, buyers and sellers are changing tactics as market dynamics shift due to rising mortgage rates and growing inventory.

While some buyers are waiting to see if rates and home prices drop, others are getting creative with their financing by utilizing buydowns, adjustable rate loans, carrying back second deeds of trust, and closing cost allowances to make their purchases. Sellers have been slower to adjust, with many resisting the idea of lowering their asking price to meet the constraints of buyers dealing with high-interest rates. However, for sellers willing to correctly market and position their listing, successful sales – and even occasionally multiple offers – can still be attained.

Seattle & King County

King County as a whole saw the median price of a single-family home increase from $875,000 in September to $903,000 last month. This was primarily a function of price gains in Seattle, where single-family homes sold for a median of $950,000 in October — up from $900,000 in September. Seattle and King County both have about two months of available supply, which is the most balanced inventory level the market has seen in years. The Seattle condo market has slowed a bit more than residential sales, with over 3 months of inventory and a median price of $522,500 — down from $525,000 year-over-year.

Eastside

On the Eastside, the median price for single-family homes has remained constant, sitting at $1,350,000 for the third month in a row. The average monthly mortgage payment on the Eastside dropped 19% from $9,226 in April 2022 (when the median price was $1,722,500 with a 4.98% interest rate) to $7,430 in August 2022 (with a median price of $1,350,000 at a 5.22% interest rate). However, while the median price has remained the same since August, the 30-year interest rate rose to 6.9% in October. At that rate, the average monthly payment is $8,891 — only 4% off the peak payment of $9,226 in April; this is despite a 22% drop in prices since then.

Snohomish County

Snohomish County saw prices fall slightly from a median of $735,000 for single-family homes in September to $730,000 last month. With less than two months of inventory, that market remains slightly more competitive than the Eastside or Seattle, possibly due to lower prices making it more accessible for buyers as they combat the higher interest rates.

Matthew Gardner’s Take

Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner weighed in on the effect of mortgage rates on buyer behavior. While he believes many buyers may be forced to wait (either voluntarily or not) for interest rates to stabilize, he advises would-be buyers not to wait for prices to bottom out. “Those who hope to pick up a home ‘on the cheap’ are likely in for a long wait,” he said.

For many buyers, the answer to this conundrum is a pivot to adjustable rate mortgages, which are currently set at around 5.9%. With the 30-year fixed mortgage rate currently at 6.9% or higher, adjustable rate mortgages offer a more affordable inroad to homeownership, with the possibility of refinancing to a lower rate in a few years.

 

As we navigate these changing market conditions, Kari can help you assess the best path forward for your home sale or purchase.

EASTSIDE

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KING COUNTY

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SEATTLE

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SNOHOMISH COUNTY

VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT

This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.

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